1 . 2 Sequential Elections

نویسنده

  • Brian Knight
چکیده

My research lies at the intersection of the elds of political economy, public economics, and applied econometrics. In recent decades, a vibrant literature in political economy has developed game theoretical models of the political process and has examined the role of various economic and political factors in the endogenous determination of policies. This theoretical literature, however, has in many cases outpaced empirical research in this area, and the link between the theoretical and empirical literatures has often been weak. Moreover, this political economy literature has often not been well connected to empirical research in the eld of public economics, which has often ignored the potential endogeneity of policies. In short, my research agenda aims to bridge these gaps by using theoretical models of the political process in order to provide new insights into empirical questions in the elds of political economy and public economics. In my research, this link between theoretical and econometric modeling has taken a variety of forms depending upon the question at hand. In some cases, such as in my work on the impact of media bias, I use theoretical models to provide simple testable predictions, which are then examined empirically. In other cases, the link between the theory and empirical work is even tighter. In my work on school district consolidation, for example, I develop an equilibrium empirical model of mergers that is rooted in the economics of matching. Similarly, in my work on momentum in sequential elections, I develop and estimate a model of voting and social learning. I have also used theoretical models of the political process, as in my research on the e ect of intergovernmental grants on local spending choices, in order to identify endogeneity problems and to motivate instrumental variables to correct for such problems. Finally, I have used theoretical models in order to provide a framework for conducting empirical welfare analysis, as evidenced in my work on socially optimal districting. Below I describe the substance of my research in several areas. I rst describe recent work on the acquisition of information by voters. The second section discusses my work on the economics of political borders. The third area applies insights developed in the theoretical literature on legislative bargaining in order to empirically investigate the role of Congressional institutions in the allocation of federal funds. Fourth, I discuss several papers in local public nance and scal federalism. I then describe several additional papers.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Interdependence of Sequential Senate Elections: Evidence from 1946-2002

Among U.S. federal elections, Senate elections are unique in that each state is a two-member district where representatives are elected sequentially to overlapping terms. Models of the sequential nature of Senate elections have been proposed suggesting that the outcome of the election for one of the state’s two U.S. Senate seats affects the contest for the other. More specifically, these models...

متن کامل

Social Learning in Elections

Elections with sequential voting, such as presidential primaries, are widely thought to feature social learning and momentum effects, where the choices of early voters influence the behavior of later voters. Momentum may take time to build, and can depend on how candidates perform in each stage relative to expectations. This paper develops a rational theory of behavior in sequential elections t...

متن کامل

Primaries and the New Hampshire Effect∗

Candidates for U.S. presidential elections are determined through sequential elections in single states, the primaries. We develop a model in which candidates can influence their winning probability in electoral districts by spending money on campaigning. The equilibrium replicates several stylized facts very well: Campaigning is very intensive in the first district. The outcome of the first el...

متن کامل

The complexity of controlling candidate-sequential elections

Candidate control of elections is the study of how adding or removing candidates can affect the outcome. However, the traditional study of the complexity of candidate control is in the model in which all candidates and votes are known up front. This paper develops a model for studying online control for elections where the structure is sequential with respect to the candidates, and in which the...

متن کامل

The Complexity of Online Manipulation of Sequential Elections

Most work on manipulation assumes that all preferences are known to the manipulators. However, in many settings elections are open and sequential, and manipulators may know the already cast votes but may not know the future votes. We introduce a framework, in which manipulators can see the past votes but not the future ones, to model online coalitional manipulation of sequential elections, and ...

متن کامل

Run Boris Run: Strategic Voting in Sequential Elections

Following the 1995 Russian parliamentary election, it was suggested that Russian voters may have used their votes to send a message to the then current Russian president, Boris Yeltsin, who was scheduled to run for reelection six months later. Building on this observation, we consider the incentives for information transmission through strategic voting in systems with sequential elections. We f...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013